Days and weeks go by and major jackpots that aren't even that big still go untripped. The problem is, the major jackpots are too unreliable.

Surely, though, we can spin enough times on a game and figure out the average amount of spins it takes to trip a jackpot and use that as a soft must-hit-by number. This is easiest to see with must-hit-by progressive jackpots where you can figure out how much coin-in it will take to trip the jackpot, subtract house edge, and if the jackpot amount is higher than the expected loss from house edge, you have an advantage.īut how do you deal with these progressive jackpots that AREN'T must-hit-by? They are unknowable, and you risk chasing them forever.

After the discussion in the 88 Fortunes thread, a new hypothesis came to me as I stared at the progressive jackpot machines that are NOT must hit by.Īs the Wizard has taught us: 'Every progressive jackpot eventually becomes +EV (Expected Value)'. My home casino is very small and after checking the few advantage machines and must-hit-by progressive jackpots, I often find myself wandering around the casino aimlessly, looking at all these damn ploppy machines and trying to figure out a way I can make money off them.

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